Sport Picks
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South America
Copa Libertadores Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo 
Match Events
40'
40'
Dominguez F.
49'
49'
Chaparro M.
53'
53'
Sub
Dominguez C. In: Torres J.
Out: Dominguez C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palmeiras
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Cerro Porteno haven't matched Palmeiras's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Palmeiras's way, sitting at 42%.
- Palmeiras have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Palmeiras | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
0:1
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
1:1
May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
1:1
May 8, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Palmeiras Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Cerro Porteno Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Palmeiras 51 / 100
Cerro Porteno 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Palmeiras Cerro Porteno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Palmeiras scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Palmeiras has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Cerro Porteno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Palmeiras VS Cerro Porteno
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Palmeiras
(Home) 09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Bahia
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3 Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Bahia
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0 LDU Quito
27 Aug
Palmeiras
3 : 0 Santos
23 Aug
Palmeiras
4 : 1 Vasco
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Porteno
(Away) 10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3 Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3 Cerro Porteno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
27 Aug
Resistencia
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
