Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Abreu M.
AI Match Summary
Moura AC in this Taça de Portugal 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Almancilense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Moura AC have won more games recently than Almancilense.
- Almancilense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Moura AC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Moura AC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 19%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almancilense | Moura AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 39 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Almancilense vs Moura AC
0:1
Feb 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Moura AC vs Almancilense
3:1
Sep 17, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Moura AC
2:0
May 7, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Moura AC vs Almancilense
0:0
Mar 19, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Almancilense vs Moura AC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almancilense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Moura AC Compare
Top Goalscorer Abreu M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almancilense 36 / 100
Moura AC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almancilense Moura AC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almancilense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Moura AC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 39 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Almancilense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Moura AC
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Almancilense
(Home) 09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1 Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3 Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0 Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2 SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1 Almancilense
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1 Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3 Montijo
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2 SC Farense
25 Mar
Almancilense
0 : 1 Oriental
11 Mar
Almancilense
2 : 2 Sporting Ideal
Page 1 of 3
Moura AC
(Away) 13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2 Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1 Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1 Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2 Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1 Louletano
Page 1 of 8
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1 Moura AC
02 Mar
Industria
2 : 3 Moura AC
16 Feb
Estrela Vendas Novas
0 : 0 Moura AC
02 Feb
Operario
4 : 2 Moura AC
19 Jan
Serpa
2 : 0 Moura AC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
Nogueirense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 1
SC Vila Real 2
Amora 3
Louletano 2
Regua 2
Lamego 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha -
TBD -
Meda 0
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra -
TBD -
Valenciano 0
AD Limianos 4
Sao Martinho 6
Machico 1
Lusitano FCV 2
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2
Uniao SC 1
TBD -
Estoril -
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vale Formoso -
Anadia 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
Praia Milfontes 0
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 2
UC Idanhense 1
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Amarante FC 6
AD Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Vila Flor -
Leca -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Aves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varzim -
TBD -
Alverca 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 2
Leca 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Santa Clara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas -
TBD -
Mirandes 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 3
CDC Montalegre 2
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense -
TBD -
Juv. Evora 1
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Sporting Ideal -
Trofense 1
Vizela 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Praiense 3
Redondense 0
Vale Formoso 0
Pinhalnovense 5
SC Lourinhanense -
TBD -
Gafetense 0
Santa Iria 8
FC Felgueiras 9
Vila Flor 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Alcains 0
Beneditense 0
Sertanense 2
SC Farense -
TBD -
TBD -
Portalegrense -
Cacadores Taipas 3
Vilaverdense FC 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Agueda 2
Trancoso 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Paredes 0
TBD -
Louletano -
Oriental 3
FC Barreirense 1
Ferreiras 0
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 2
SC Lourinhanense 1
TBD -
CDC Montalegre -
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Sintrense 2
1º Dezembro 1
Cinfaes 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Lusitania FC 1
Vieira 1
Merelinense 3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
CD Torres Novas 0
TBD -
Uniao SC -
Valenciano -
TBD -
TBD -
Praia Milfontes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real SC 2
Sporting Ideal 0
Pedras Rubras 1
SC Mirandela 2
Moura AC 1
Almancilense 0
Coimbroes 0
Rio Tinto 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 6
Graciosa FC 0
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Montijo 1
Vila Silgueiros -
TBD -
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SC Angrense 3
Gafanha 2
Vila Silgueiros 0
Vilafranquense 0
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 3
Macao 2
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eirense 2
CD Gouveia 0
Coutada 0
Torreense 2
Chaves B 6
Vinhais 1
SC Vianense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes -
TBD -
Olhanense 0
Silves FC 1
Lusitano FCV -
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa 0
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 6
Portalegrense 1
Fatima 0
Oleiros 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 2
SC Vila Real 3
Amora 8
Lamego 0
TBD -
BSAD -
Covilha 2
FC Cesarense 1
Mafra 1
AD Limianos 2
Sao Martinho 1
Beira Mar 0
TBD -
Moreirense -
Tondela -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Mirandes 2
Leiria 0
Vale Formoso 3
Anadia 3
Aljustrelense 1
Tomar 0
Vilafranquense 3
Amarante FC 5
Vila Flor 0
Leca 0
Leixoes 3
Aves -
TBD -
Varzim 1
Sacavenense 2
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara -
TBD -
CD Torres Novas 0
Maria de Fonte 4
Pedras Salgadas 1
Academica 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Armacenenses 3
AD Fafe 1
Sporting Ideal 0
Trofense 2
Penafiel 3
SC Praiense 5
Pinhalnovense 1
SC Lourinhanense 1
Santa Iria 3
FC Felgueiras 2
GD Joane 0
TBD -
Braga -
Benfica -
TBD -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Sertanense 3
SC Farense 3
Portalegrense 0
Cacadores Taipas 0
Arouca 1
Agueda 1
Famalicao 0
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Louletano 1
Oriental 3
Lusitano GC 1
GD Peniche 1
CDC Montalegre 3
Boavista -
TBD -
Oliveirense 0
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
Alverca 0
Sintrense 0
SC Espinho 1
U. Madeira 3
Merelinense 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Uniao SC 4
Valenciano 5
Praia Milfontes 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Feirense -
TBD -
Real SC 0
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 4
Rio Tinto 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Casa Pia 2
Montijo 0
Vila Silgueiros 0
SC Angrense 2
Gafanha 2
Caldas SC 1
Condeixa 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Eirense 0
Torreense 3
Chaves B 1
Gil Vicente 0
Paredes 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 2
Oliveira Hospital 1
TBD -
Nacional -
GS Loures 1
Oleiros 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
1/32-finals
FC Porto 6
SC Vila Real 0
Amora 3
BSAD 4
Covilha 2
AD Limianos 0
Sao Martinho 0
Moreirense 1
Tondela 2
Estoril 1
Coimbroes 3
Vale Formoso 4
Anadia 4
Vilafranquense 0
Amarante FC 1
Leixoes 3
Aves 3
Sacavenense 1
Portimonense 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Santa Clara 2
Maria de Fonte 1
Pedras Salgadas 1
Chaves 4
Vitoria Setubal 2
Armacenenses 1
AD Fafe 0
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 2
Santa Iria 0
FC Felgueiras 0
Braga 1
Benfica 3
Sertanense 0
SC Farense 1
Arouca 3
Agueda 1
Louletano 0
Oriental 1
CDC Montalegre 2
Boavista 4
Fatima 1
Academico Viseu 3
SC Espinho 4
U. Madeira 2
Uniao SC 0
Valenciano 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 7
Feirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Moura AC 0
Maritimo 1
Casa Pia 2
SC Angrense 1
Gafanha 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Rio Ave 5
Torreense 1
Chaves B 1
Silves FC 2
Lusitano FCV 4
Nacional 3
GS Loures 1
Sporting CP 2
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
BSAD 0
Covilha 0
Moreirense 3
Tondela 7
Vale Formoso 0
Anadia 0
Leixoes 1
Aves 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Santa Clara 1
Chaves 2
Vitoria Setubal 4
Penafiel 1
SC Praiense 1
Braga 2
Benfica 2
Arouca 1
Agueda 0
CDC Montalegre 1
Boavista 4
SC Espinho 0
U. Madeira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 3
Maritimo 0
Casa Pia 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rio Ave 7
Silves FC 0
Lusitano FCV 1
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Moreirense 3
Tondela 2
Leixoes 3
Aves 2
Chaves 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 1
Benfica 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Boavista 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Feirense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Rio Ave 2
Sporting CP 5
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Leixoes 1
Aves 1
Braga 2
Benfica 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Feirense 0
Sporting CP 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 4
Braga 1
Benfica 2
Sporting CP 2
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 3
