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Almancilense vs Olhanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 game between Almancilense and Olhanense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almancilense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Almancilense
20%
Draws
44%
Olhanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olhanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Almancilense haven't matched Olhanense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Almancilense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Olhanense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 20%
Olhanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almancilense Olhanense
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Olhanense
1:0
Sep 3, 2017 Taça de Portugal
Olhanense vs Almancilense
3:1
Aug 20, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Olhanense vs Almancilense
2:0
Sep 27, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Almancilense vs Olhanense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almancilense 67 / 100
Olhanense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almancilense Olhanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almancilense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almancilense scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Olhanense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Almancilense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Olhanense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almancilense

(Home)
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1
Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3
Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0
Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2
SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1
Almancilense
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Olhanense

(Away)
20 Sept
Olhanense
1 : 0
Portel
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Olhanense
0 : 2
Imortal
02 Apr
SC Praiense
5 : 0
Olhanense
18 Mar
Olhanense
2 : 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)