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Almazan vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
De Frutos S.
Own Goal
36' Event
Rengel J.
77' Event
Jimenez H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Almazan and Arandina finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Almazan
30%
Draws
47%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Almazan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Almazan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Almazan Clean Sheet 68%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almazan Arandina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Arandina
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Almazan
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Arandina
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Almazan
2:2
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Arandina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arandina Compare

Top Goalscorer Rengel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barroso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almazan 50 / 100
Arandina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almazan Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Almazan scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Almazan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almazan VS Arandina
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almazan

(Home)
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0
Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0
Almazan
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
Arandina
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)