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Almazan vs Mansilles

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Blanco J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Almazan and Mansilles finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Almazan
35%
Draws
32%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Almazan haven't matched Mansilles's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Almazan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mansilles have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Almazan Clean Sheet 20%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almazan Mansilles
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Mansilles
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Almazan
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Mansilles
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Almazan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almazan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almazan 42 / 100
Mansilles 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almazan Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almazan's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Almazan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mansilles has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almazan VS Mansilles
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almazan

(Home)
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Mansilles

(Away)
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)