Sport Picks
Almazan vs Santa Marta Tormes Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Dieng I.
35'
35'
Gonzalez O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Marta Tormes have won more games recently than Almazan.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Almazan taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Almazan Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almazan | Santa Marta Tormes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Almazan
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Almazan
0:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almazan Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Top Goalscorer Dieng I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almazan 36 / 100
Santa Marta Tormes 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almazan Santa Marta Tormes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almazan has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Almazan's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Santa Marta Tormes conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Almazan VS Santa Marta Tormes
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Almazan
(Home) 03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2 Palencia CF
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1 Almazan
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2 Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca B
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03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2 Palencia CF
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2 Villaralbo
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1 Mansilles
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Santa Marta Tormes
(Away) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
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27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
19 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
08 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
24 May
Guijuelo
2 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
