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Almere City U21 vs NAC Breda U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2022/2023 Yanmar Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Divisie 1 U21 2022/2023 game between Almere City U21 and NAC Breda U21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almere City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Almere City U21
6%
Draws
4%
NAC Breda U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Almere City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almere City U21 come out ahead of NAC Breda U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Almere City U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Divisie 1 U21 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Almere City U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Almere City U21 Clean Sheet 20%
NAC Breda U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City U21 NAC Breda U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.33 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Divisie 1 U21
Almere City U21 vs NAC Breda U21
3:1
Feb 11, 2023 Divisie 1 U21
NAC Breda U21 vs Almere City U21
0:3
Mar 19, 2022 Divisie 1 U21
NAC Breda U21 vs Almere City U21
0:2
Feb 5, 2022 Divisie 1 U21
NAC Breda U21 vs Almere City U21
0:4
Oct 23, 2021 Divisie 1 U21
Almere City U21 vs NAC Breda U21
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City U21 85 / 100
NAC Breda U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City U21 NAC Breda U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAC Breda U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Almere City U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

NAC Breda U21 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almere City U21 VS NAC Breda U21
2.33 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Almere City U2114111237:1834
2De Graafschap U211483331:2027
3Feyenoord U211482428:1526
4Den Haag U211462620:2220
5FC Twente/Heracles U211452717:2417
6Groningen U211451823:2416
7Zwolle U211432917:2911
8NAC Breda U2114311019:4010