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Almere City U21 vs Willem II U21

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U21 2022/2023 Yanmar Stadion
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AI Match Summary

The Divisie 1 U21 2022/2023 game between Almere City U21 and Willem II U21 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almere City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Almere City U21
22%
Draws
18%
Willem II U21
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Almere City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Almere City U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Almere City U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Almere City U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Almere City U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Willem II U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City U21 Willem II U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2022 Divisie 1 U21
Almere City U21 vs Willem II U21
5:2
Oct 15, 2022 Divisie 1 U21
Willem II U21 vs Almere City U21
0:0
Apr 2, 2022 Divisie 1 U21
Almere City U21 vs Willem II U21
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City U21 57 / 100
Willem II U21 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City U21 Willem II U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II U21 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Almere City U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Almere City U21's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Willem II U21
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zwolle U2114103136:1333
2Groningen U211485139:1329
3Feyenoord U211492341:1929
4De Graafschap U211462625:2520
5Almere City U211444625:2516
6Den Haag U211432914:2811
7Willem II U211424812:3010
8FC Emmen U211414910:497