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Match Events
AI Match Summary
Almere City in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- De Graafschap haven't matched Almere City's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Almere City's way, sitting at 90%.
- Almere City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Almere City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almere City | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.22 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almere City Compare
De Graafschap Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almere City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).
De Graafschap has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Almere City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.