Sport Picks
Almere City vs De Graafschap
Netherlands
Eredivisie 2025/2026 Yanmar Stadion 
AI Match Summary
Almere City play De Graafschap in the Eredivisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Almere City averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. De Graafschap averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Almere City won 2, De Graafschap won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Almere City and 1.38 for De Graafschap. This points to a Almere City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Almere City demonstrates higher offensive output (2.13 avg goals) than De Graafschap (1.25 avg goals).
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Almere City.
- Cup tournament structure in Eredivisie 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almere City | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almere City Compare
De Graafschap Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almere City scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
De Graafschap let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Almere City went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
De Graafschap lost 3 of their last 5 games.