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Almere City vs Eindhoven FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almere City host Eindhoven FC in the Eerste Divisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Almere City at 2.13 goals for, 1.52 against; Eindhoven FC at 1.29 for, 1.77 against. Head-to-head, Almere City have won 3 to Eindhoven FC's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.13, favoring Almere City. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almere City
15%
Draws
37%
Eindhoven FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than Eindhoven FC.
  • Almere City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Almere City Clean Sheet 20%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City Eindhoven FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Almere City
3:2
Sep 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Eindhoven FC
5:0
May 26, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Eindhoven FC
3:1
May 22, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Almere City
1:0
Feb 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs Almere City
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 40 / 100
Eindhoven FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City Eindhoven FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Eindhoven FC conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Almere City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS Eindhoven FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 7

Eindhoven FC

(Away)
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1
FC Emmen
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
07 Sept
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0
Eindhoven FC
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3
Heracles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 8 5 1 2 18:7 16
3 Maastricht 8 5 1 2 12:15 16
4 Venlo 8 5 0 3 21:14 15
5 Roda 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
6 FC Emmen 8 5 0 3 18:17 15
7 Waalwijk 8 3 4 1 18:11 13
8 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 13:11 13
9 NAC Breda 8 4 1 3 17:17 13
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 8 4 0 4 20:16 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 8 3 1 4 13:17 10
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
16 Den Bosch 8 2 1 5 12:17 7
17 Dordrecht 8 2 1 5 12:23 7
18 De Graafschap 8 2 1 5 9:20 7
19 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
20 TOP Oss 8 2 0 6 8:13 6
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)