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Almere City vs FC Volendam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Blondeau L.
37' Event
Cornelisse E.
Assist: de Haan M.
59'
Sub
Jacobs Ja. In: Ritmeester van de Kamp J.
Out: Jacobs Ja.

AI Match Summary

Almere City in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almere City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Almere City
15%
Draws
36%
FC Volendam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than FC Volendam.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Almere City taking it.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Almere City Clean Sheet 15%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City FC Volendam
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs FC Volendam
1:0
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Almere City vs FC Volendam
2:1
Mar 31, 2024 Eredivisie
Almere City vs FC Volendam
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Almere City
0:1
Dec 17, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs FC Volendam
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelisse E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

FC Volendam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 84 / 100
FC Volendam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City FC Volendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

FC Volendam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Almere City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS FC Volendam
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0
Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 7

FC Volendam

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Vitesse
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1
FC Volendam
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)