Sport Picks
Almere City vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Yanmar Stadion, Almere 
AI Match Summary
Almere City host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie. Almere City go into this one as the clear favorite. Almere City have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Helmond Sport's 1.22 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Almere City have won 1 to Helmond Sport's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.44) point toward Almere City. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
- Model gives Almere City a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almere City | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 32 |
| Wins | 23 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Almere City scored in 89% of their last 37 outings.
Helmond Sport let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Almere City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Almere City
(Home)Helmond Sport
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Venlo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Almere City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:14 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 22 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33:31 | 17 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:30 | 16 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 20:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25:31 | 12 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18:34 | 12 |
| 19 | Eindhoven FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
