Sport Picks
Almere City vs Heracles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Yanmar Stadion, Almere 
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
el Dahri H. In: Jacobs Ja.
Out: el Dahri H.
60'
60'
Sub
Huisman B. In: Burgering B.
Out: Huisman B.
69'
69'
Sub
Hauswirth M. In: Bruns T.
Out: Hauswirth M.
AI Match Summary
Almere City in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almere City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Heracles haven't matched Almere City's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Almere City Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almere City | Heracles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Heracles
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Eredivisie
Almere City vs Heracles
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Almere City
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Almere City
2:2
Nov 26, 2023 Eredivisie
Almere City vs Heracles
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer Wasinski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Heracles Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almere City 30 / 100
Heracles 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almere City Heracles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almere City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Heracles let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Almere City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Almere City VS Heracles
2 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Almere City
(Home) 03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1 Jong PSV
25 Jul
Almere City
8 : 4 TOP Oss
Page 1 of 3
Heracles
(Away) 02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0 Vitesse
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4 Heracles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
