Sport Picks
Almere City vs Jong PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Yanmar Stadion, Almere 
Match Events
2'
2'
Burgering B.
Assist: Hoedemakers M.
9'
9'
Kluit F.
46'
46'
Sub
Hoedemakers M. In: Cornelisse E.
Out: Hoedemakers M.
AI Match Summary
Almere City in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almere City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than Jong PSV.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Almere City taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Almere City Clean Sheet 16%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almere City | Jong PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Jong PSV
3:1
Dec 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Almere City
2:3
Sep 12, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Jong PSV
2:4
Feb 3, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Jong PSV
1:2
Nov 7, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Almere City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer Burgering B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poku E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Kluit F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almere City 36 / 100
Jong PSV 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almere City Jong PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almere City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Jong PSV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Almere City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Almere City VS Jong PSV
2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Almere City
(Home) 30 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 2 Almere City
27 Oct
Telstar
0 : 2 Almere City
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3 Roda
17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1 Almere City
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3 Roda
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0 Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 3
Jong PSV
(Away) 02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2 NAC Breda
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7 Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2 Jong PSV
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Dordrecht
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7 Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2 Jong PSV
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1 Jong PSV
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1 Jong PSV
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
