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Almere City vs NAC Breda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almere City host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. NAC Breda have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Almere City have conceded 1.37 and scored 2.2. Head-to-head, Almere City have won 1 to NAC Breda's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.63) point toward Almere City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Almere City
20%
Draws
44%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Almere City have won more games recently than NAC Breda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Almere City Clean Sheet 14%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City NAC Breda
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Almere City vs NAC Breda
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Almere City
1:0
May 7, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs NAC Breda
0:2
Dec 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Almere City
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs NAC Breda
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 35 / 100
NAC Breda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

NAC Breda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Almere City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS NAC Breda
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
06 Nov
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1 : 3
Almere City
30 Oct
Waalwijk
1 : 2
Almere City
27 Oct
Telstar
0 : 2
Almere City
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3
Roda
17 Oct
FC Emmen
2 : 1
Almere City
Page 1 of 7

NAC Breda

(Away)
06 Nov
Dordrecht
0 : 0
NAC Breda
02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2
NAC Breda
28 Oct
Watergraafsmeer
1 : 3
NAC Breda
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1
Heracles
16 Oct
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
5 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
6 FC Emmen 14 8 1 5 26:26 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Maastricht 14 6 2 6 19:29 20
9 Den Bosch 14 5 4 5 24:22 19
10 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Jong Utrecht 14 3 2 9 23:34 11
20 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)