Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almere City vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almere City host Roda in the Eerste Divisie. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Almere City have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Roda's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Roda slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.00, favoring Almere City. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Almere City
20%
Draws
32%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Almere City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Almere City a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Almere City Clean Sheet 20%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City Roda
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 2 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Roda
1:2
Oct 20, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Almere City
2:0
Feb 24, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Almere City
0:2
Sep 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Roda
2:1
Jan 14, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Roda
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 85 / 100
Roda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Roda has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Almere City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS Roda
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0
Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
Page 1 of 7

Roda

(Away)
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)