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Almere City vs Telstar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almere City play Telstar in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Almere City averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Telstar averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Almere City won 2, Telstar won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Almere City and 1.44 for Telstar. This points to a Almere City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Almere City
18%
Draws
38%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Almere City picked up more points recently compared to Telstar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Almere City Clean Sheet 16%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City Telstar
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Almere City vs Telstar
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 KNVB Beker
Almere City vs Telstar
1:3
Jan 27, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Almere City
0:1
Sep 9, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Telstar
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Telstar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Druijf F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huisman B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Seedorf J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 43 / 100
Telstar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City Telstar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Almere City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Almere City attacking → ← attacking Telstar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Telstar let in goals in 88% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Almere City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Telstar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 36
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63