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Almere City vs TOP Oss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Nsingi F.
27' Event
Poku E.
39' Event
de Lannoy M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Almere City and TOP Oss finished 8-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almere City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Almere City
15%
Draws
36%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Almere City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Almere City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Almere City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Almere City Clean Sheet 20%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almere City TOP Oss
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Almere City vs TOP Oss
8:4
Apr 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs TOP Oss
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Almere City
1:2
Apr 28, 2023 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Almere City
0:5
Oct 18, 2022 KNVB Beker
Almere City vs TOP Oss
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almere City Compare

Top Goalscorer Huisman B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Poku E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Lannoy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almere City 49 / 100
TOP Oss 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almere City TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almere City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almere City scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: TOP Oss conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Almere City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almere City VS TOP Oss
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almere City

(Home)
09 Oct
Almere City
3 : 0
Eindhoven FC
03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0
FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4
Almere City
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TOP Oss

(Away)
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
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