Sport Picks
Almeria B vs Atletico de Porcuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
1'
1'
Sanca M.
13'
13'
Romera J. M.
31'
31'
Sanca M.
AI Match Summary
Almeria B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Almeria B haven't matched Atletico de Porcuna's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Almeria B's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Almeria B here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almeria B | Atletico de Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Atletico de Porcuna
4:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Almeria B
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:0
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Atletico de Porcuna
5:0
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Almeria B
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almeria B Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanca M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Romera J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Atletico de Porcuna Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almeria B 95 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almeria B Atletico de Porcuna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almeria B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Almeria B's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Almeria B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Atletico de Porcuna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Almeria B VS Atletico de Porcuna
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Almeria B
(Home) 04 Oct
Cantoria
1 : 1 Almeria B
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Almeria B
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
26 Apr
Almeria B
3 : 4 Deportiva Minera
11 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 2 CD Estepona
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 3
Atletico de Porcuna
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1 Granada CF B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Cantoria
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Malaga B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Granada CF B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Churriana de la Vega | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 9 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Torre del Mar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 11 | CD Alhaurino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 13 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
