Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almeria B vs Rincon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Casadevall M.
23' Event
Lara L.
51'
Carreras L.

AI Match Summary

Almeria B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Almeria B
20%
Draws
65%
Rincon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rincon lately — more wins on the board than Almeria B.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Almeria B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Almeria B Clean Sheet 19%
Rincon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria B Rincon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Rincon
4:0
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Almeria B
0:0
Jan 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Rincon
4:1
Sep 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Almeria B
0:3
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Almeria B vs Rincon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria B Compare

Top Goalscorer Casadevall M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lara L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria B 36 / 100
Rincon 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria B Rincon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rincon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rincon has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Almeria B scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Almeria B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almeria B VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria B

(Home)
03 May
Aguilas FC
2 : 0
Almeria B
26 Apr
Almeria B
3 : 4
Deportiva Minera
19 Apr
Yeclano
1 : 1
Almeria B
11 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 2
CD Estepona
05 Apr
Almeria B
1 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 6

Rincon

(Away)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)