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Almeria vs Eldense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 UD Almería Stadium, Almería
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Match Events

11'
Ruiz D.
15' Event
Bonini F.
Assist: Melamed N.
25'
Clemente J.

AI Match Summary

Almeria in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Almeria
20%
Draws
36%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Almeria have won more games recently than Eldense.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Almeria taking it.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Almeria Clean Sheet 68%
Eldense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria Eldense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Eldense
3:0
Dec 3, 2025 Copa del Rey
Eldense vs Almeria
2:1
May 4, 2025 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Eldense
5:0
Sep 8, 2024 LaLiga2
Eldense vs Almeria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dzodic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Eldense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria 95 / 100
Eldense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almeria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Almeria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Almeria found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Eldense let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Almeria VS Eldense
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria

(Home)
31 Oct
Eibar
1 : 1
Almeria
27 Oct
Castellonense
1 : 2
Almeria
24 Oct
Almeria
2 : 2
Real Oviedo
17 Oct
Real Sociedad B
2 : 4
Almeria
11 Oct
Almeria
3 : 0
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Eldense

(Away)
01 Nov
Eldense
0 : 2
Granada CF
29 Oct
Baleares
0 : 1
Eldense
25 Oct
Albacete
2 : 0
Eldense
18 Oct
Valladolid
2 : 3
Eldense
10 Oct
Eldense
2 : 1
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 12 8 3 1 23:5 27
2 Almeria 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
3 Eibar 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Granada CF 12 7 2 3 20:14 23
5 Mallorca 12 6 4 2 15:7 22
6 Gijon 12 7 1 4 13:13 22
7 Girona 12 6 3 3 22:11 21
8 Burgos CF 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
9 Real Oviedo 12 5 3 4 17:15 18
10 Sabadell 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
11 Las Palmas 12 5 2 5 17:21 17
12 Cordoba 12 5 1 6 19:22 16
13 Valladolid 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
14 Tenerife 12 3 6 3 15:17 15
15 Eldense 12 4 2 6 13:17 14
16 Celta Vigo B 12 3 4 5 18:23 13
17 Leganes 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
18 FC Andorra 12 3 2 7 17:22 11
19 Real Sociedad B 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
20 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 15:16 10
21 Albacete 12 2 1 9 10:23 7
22 AD Ceuta 12 1 2 9 10:27 5
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