Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almeria vs Mirandes

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 UD Almería Stadium, Almería
Almeria Logo

Almeria

4 - 2
FT
Mirandes Logo

Mirandes

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Leo Baptistao
Assist: Luna M.
3' Event
Medrano F.
Assist: El Jebari S.
15' Event
Gutierrez J.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almeria in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Almeria
15%
Draws
26%
Mirandes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almeria lately — more wins on the board than Mirandes.
  • Win probability leans Almeria's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Almeria Clean Sheet 20%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almeria Mirandes
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Mirandes
4:2
Jan 10, 2026 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Almeria
2:2
May 25, 2025 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Almeria
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Mirandes
1:0
Feb 20, 2022 LaLiga2
Almeria vs Mirandes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Baptistao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mirandes Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Jebari S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almeria 58 / 100
Mirandes 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almeria Mirandes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

Almeria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Almeria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almeria VS Mirandes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almeria

(Home)
07 Aug
Cordoba
0 : 4
Almeria
04 Aug
Al Nassr
0 : 2
Almeria
01 Aug
Betis
1 : 0
Almeria
29 Jul
Granada CF
2 : 0
Almeria
25 Jul
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Almeria
Page 1 of 7

Mirandes

(Away)
01 Aug
Barakaldo
2 : 0
Mirandes
31 May
Leganes
1 : 0
Mirandes
24 May
Mirandes
3 : 1
Granada CF
16 May
Real Sociedad B
2 : 2
Mirandes
10 May
Mirandes
0 : 1
Eibar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)