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Almirante Barroso vs Tubarao

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Tubarao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Almirante Barroso
39%
Draws
30%
Tubarao
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tubarao come out ahead of Almirante Barroso on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Tubarao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tubarao, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Almirante Barroso Clean Sheet 20%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almirante Barroso Tubarao
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Almirante Barroso
1:1
Sep 29, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Almirante Barroso vs Tubarao
0:2
Oct 24, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Almirante Barroso vs Tubarao
1:2
Sep 23, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Almirante Barroso
0:0
Apr 23, 2017 Catarinense
Almirante Barroso vs Tubarao
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Barroso 32 / 100
Tubarao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almirante Barroso Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tubarao has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Almirante Barroso found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Tubarao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tubarao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Barroso

(Home)
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Figueirense B
2 : 2
Almirante Barroso
20 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Brusque
16 Oct
Fluminense-SC
6 : 0
Almirante Barroso
13 Oct
Almirante Barroso
0 : 1
Marcilio Dias
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Tubarao

(Away)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
Tubarao
1 : 0
Nacao
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz1090126:527
2Figueirense1062220:1220
3Joinville1044219:1516
4Fluminense-SC1023510:169
5CA Metropolitano1022611:168
6Blumenau100376:283
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1081120:625
2Tubarao1055013:420
3Marcilio Dias1053219:618
4Almirante Barroso1042413:1114
5Inter de Lages1021712:137
6Operario Mafra1000104:410
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)