Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento

CA Mitre

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almirante Brown play CA Mitre in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Almirante Brown averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. CA Mitre averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Almirante Brown won 3, CA Mitre won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Almirante Brown and 0.81 for CA Mitre. This points to a Almirante Brown double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Almirante Brown

17%

Draws

13%

CA Mitre

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Almirante Brown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Almirante Brown has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CA Mitre.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Almirante Brown.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Nacional provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%

CA Mitre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Almirante Brown	CA Mitre
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	5
Draws	9	12
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	0.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown vs CA Mitre

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Jul 20, 2025 Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown vs CA Mitre

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Mar 16, 2025 Primera Nacional

CA Mitre vs Almirante Brown

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Jul 27, 2024 Primera Nacional

CA Mitre vs Almirante Brown

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Mar 10, 2024 Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown vs CA Mitre

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almirante Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Levi M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Martinez E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

CA Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 77 / 100

CA Mitre 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Almirante Brown CA Mitre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almirante Brown scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

CA Mitre let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Almirante Brown went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CA Mitre lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS CA Mitre

0.75 Goals Scored 1.13

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

25% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	20	12	4	4	23:14	40
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
4	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	23:15	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	20	7	9	4	19:16	30
6	CA Estudiantes	20	8	6	6	18:16	30
7	Almirante Brown	20	8	6	6	15:13	30
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	19:17	25
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Defensores de Belgrano	19	5	8	6	14:17	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	17:22	21
13	All Boys	20	4	9	7	13:20	21
14	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	12:17	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	13:20	19
17	CA Mitre	20	3	9	8	19:27	18
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	19	11	4	4	31:21	37
2	Atletico Atlanta	19	10	3	6	24:15	33
3	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
4	Temperley	19	7	9	3	19:17	30
5	Deportivo Maipu	20	8	4	8	27:21	28
6	Midland	19	7	6	6	20:15	27
7	Atl. Rafaela	20	7	6	7	15:16	27
8	San Martin T.	19	6	8	5	16:15	26
9	Nueva Chicago	19	6	7	6	17:17	25
10	Almagro	19	7	4	8	16:19	25
11	Quilmes	19	6	6	7	18:15	24
12	Gimnasia y Tiro	19	6	6	7	18:20	24
13	Colegiales	19	6	5	8	18:19	23
14	San Martin S.J.	18	6	5	7	18:19	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	19	6	4	9	15:20	22
16	Patronato	19	4	9	6	12:16	21
17	Club Atletico Guemes	19	5	4	10	18:32	19
18	Agropecuario	19	4	6	9	14:24	18