Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova

Almirante Brown

1 - 1

Colon Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

Bazan N.

58'

Sub

Sarmiento D. In: Godoy M.

Out: Sarmiento D.

58'

Sub

Marcioni J. In: Ibarra C.

Out: Marcioni J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Almirante Brown

30%

Draws

34%

Colon Santa Fe

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Almirante Brown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Colon Santa Fe at 1.38 per game, Almirante Brown at 0.88.
36% — that's where the model lands on Almirante Brown taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%

Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Almirante Brown	Colon Santa Fe
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	11
Draws	9	9
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe

1:1

Jul 13, 2025 Primera Nacional

Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown

1:0

Mar 10, 2025 Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe

2:0

Jul 7, 2024 Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown vs Colon Santa Fe

0:0

Feb 18, 2024 Primera Nacional

Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almirante Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazan N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Peinipil M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 46 / 100

Colon Santa Fe 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Almirante Brown Colon Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Almirante Brown stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Almirante Brown scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Colon Santa Fe has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS Colon Santa Fe

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Brown

(Home)

17 Jul

Almirante Brown

0 : 0

CA Estudiantes

11 Jul

All Boys

1 : 1

Almirante Brown

04 Jul

Almirante Brown

1 : 0

Los Andes

21 Jun

Almirante Brown

3 : 1

CA Mitre

14 Jun

Almirante Brown

1 : 0

Godoy Cruz

Page 1 of 6

Colon Santa Fe

(Away)

17 Jul

Ferro

2 : 0

Colon Santa Fe

12 Jul

Colon Santa Fe

4 : 0

Central Norte

05 Jul

Deportivo Madryn

1 : 2

Colon Santa Fe

20 Jun

Chaco For Ever

1 : 0

Colon Santa Fe

13 Jun

Defensores de Belgrano

0 : 3

Colon Santa Fe

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)