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Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Deportivo Moron Logo

Deportivo Moron

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almirante Brown host Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Almirante Brown have averaged 0.83 scored and 0.72 conceded recently, against Deportivo Moron's 1.45 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo Moron slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.13, favoring Deportivo Moron. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Almirante Brown
20%
Draws
48%
Deportivo Moron
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Moron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Moron carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Almirante Brown a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Moron Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 50 / 100
Deportivo Moron 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almirante Brown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Moron let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Deportivo Moron registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Almirante Brown's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS Deportivo Moron
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almirante Brown

(Home)
17 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
2 : 2
Almirante Brown
11 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 1
San Miguel
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Moron

(Away)
18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2
CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Deportivo Moron
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1
Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)