Sport Picks
Almirante Brown vs Ferro
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova 
Match Events
18'
18'
Tevez F.
24'
24'
Sub
Gomez N. In: Orellana J.
Out: Gomez N.
45'
45'
Alegre Rojas G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferro lately — more wins on the board than Almirante Brown.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%
Ferro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Ferro
0:0
Apr 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Almirante Brown
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Ferro
0:0
Nov 5, 2023 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Almirante Brown
1:1
Aug 16, 2022 Primera Nacional
Ferro vs Almirante Brown
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almirante Brown 42 / 100
Ferro 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almirante Brown Ferro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almirante Brown went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Almirante Brown scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Ferro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Almirante Brown VS Ferro
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Almirante Brown
(Home) 20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0 Almirante Brown
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
22 Aug
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 2 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
08 Aug
Almirante Brown
2 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
02 Aug
Almirante Brown
2 : 0 Racing Cordoba
17 Jul
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 CA Estudiantes
Page 1 of 3
Ferro
(Away) 19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0 CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
24 Aug
Ferro
1 : 0 All Boys
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2 Ferro
09 Aug
Los Andes
1 : 2 Ferro
26 Jul
Deportivo Moron
4 : 0 Ferro
11 Jul
San Miguel
0 : 1 Ferro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
