Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento

Los Andes

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Almirante Brown play Los Andes in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Almirante Brown averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Los Andes averaged 1 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Almirante Brown won 4, Los Andes won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Almirante Brown and 0.69 for Los Andes. This points to a Almirante Brown double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Almirante Brown

33%

Draws

27%

Los Andes

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Almirante Brown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Almirante Brown has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Los Andes.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Almirante Brown.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Nacional provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 15%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%

Los Andes Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Almirante Brown	Los Andes
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	8	11
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	0.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown vs Los Andes

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Feb 15, 2026 Primera Nacional

Los Andes vs Almirante Brown

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Mar 14, 2020 Primera B

Los Andes vs Almirante Brown

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Sep 28, 2019 Primera B

Almirante Brown vs Los Andes

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Mar 1, 2010 Primera B

Almirante Brown vs Los Andes

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almirante Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreliano M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Los Andes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 50 / 100

Los Andes 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Almirante Brown Los Andes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almirante Brown scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Los Andes let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Almirante Brown went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Los Andes lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS Los Andes

0.5 Goals Scored 1

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38

13% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	19	11	4	4	22:14	37
2	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	27:17	34
3	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	23:15	32
4	Ciudad Bolivar	19	7	9	3	18:13	30
5	Los Andes	19	7	8	4	16:7	29
6	Almirante Brown	19	8	5	6	14:12	29
7	Deportivo Madryn	19	7	7	5	25:20	28
8	CA Estudiantes	19	7	6	6	15:16	27
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	19:17	25
10	San Miguel	19	5	10	4	17:20	25
11	Defensores de Belgrano	19	5	8	6	14:17	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	17:22	21
13	San Telmo	19	4	8	7	15:18	20
14	All Boys	19	4	8	7	12:19	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	12:17	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	13:20	19
17	CA Mitre	19	3	9	7	19:24	18
18	Chaco For Ever	19	2	7	10	14:25	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	19	11	4	4	31:21	37
2	Atletico Atlanta	19	10	3	6	24:15	33
3	Tristan Suarez	19	7	9	3	16:11	30
4	Temperley	19	7	9	3	19:17	30
5	Midland	19	7	6	6	20:15	27
6	Atl. Rafaela	19	7	6	6	14:13	27
7	San Martin T.	19	6	8	5	16:15	26
8	Deportivo Maipu	19	7	4	8	24:20	25
9	Nueva Chicago	18	6	7	5	17:16	25
10	Almagro	19	7	4	8	16:19	25
11	Quilmes	19	6	6	7	18:15	24
12	Gimnasia y Tiro	19	6	6	7	18:20	24
13	Colegiales	19	6	5	8	18:19	23
14	San Martin S.J.	18	6	5	7	18:19	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	19	6	4	9	15:20	22
16	Patronato	19	4	9	6	12:16	21
17	Club Atletico Guemes	19	5	4	10	18:32	19
18	Agropecuario	19	4	6	9	14:24	18