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Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Almada A.
Assist: Colli K.
30'
Quignon F.
34'
Luayza M.

AI Match Summary

Tristan Suarez in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Almirante Brown
28%
Draws
22%
Tristan Suarez
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Almirante Brown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tristan Suarez have won more games recently than Almirante Brown.
  • Model gives Almirante Brown a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almirante Brown Tristan Suarez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown
2:2
Feb 11, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
2:2
Dec 5, 2020 Primera B
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almirante Brown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Almada A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almirante Brown 59 / 100
Tristan Suarez 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almirante Brown Tristan Suarez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almirante Brown went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Almirante Brown found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tristan Suarez has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Almirante Brown VS Tristan Suarez
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419