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Almodovar vs FC Barreirense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Barreirense in this Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Barreirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Almodovar
11%
Draws
80%
FC Barreirense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Barreirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Barreirense lately — more wins on the board than Almodovar.
  • FC Barreirense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Barreirense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 10%
FC Barreirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almodovar FC Barreirense
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
FC Barreirense vs Almodovar
3:0
Feb 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs FC Barreirense
1:2
Dec 29, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs FC Barreirense
2:0
Oct 13, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
FC Barreirense vs Almodovar
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almodovar 10 / 100
FC Barreirense 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almodovar FC Barreirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Barreirense conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Almodovar scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Almodovar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almodovar VS FC Barreirense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moura AC1484226:1144
2Louletano1475222:1237
3Uniao Montemor1467121:1437
4CDR Quarteirense1465325:1635
5Cova De Piedade1453623:2531
6FC Barreirense1446416:1728
7Esperanca de Lagos1423910:2815
8Almodovar14031110:3010