Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almudevar vs Binefar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Almudevar and Binefar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Almudevar
15%
Draws
42%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almudevar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almudevar come out ahead of Binefar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Almudevar's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Almudevar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 10%
Binefar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almudevar Binefar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Binefar
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Almudevar
2:3
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Almudevar
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Binefar
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Almudevar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almudevar Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Binefar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almudevar 40 / 100
Binefar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almudevar Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almudevar scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Binefar conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Binefar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almudevar VS Binefar
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Almudevar

(Home)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
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Binefar

(Away)
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)