Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almudevar vs CD Carinena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Oliver Hernandez J. J.
80' Event
Sanchez M.

AI Match Summary

Almudevar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Almudevar
35%
Draws
20%
CD Carinena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almudevar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Almudevar have won more games recently than CD Carinena.
  • Almudevar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Almudevar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 17%
CD Carinena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almudevar CD Carinena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 16
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs CD Carinena
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Almudevar
1:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Almudevar
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs CD Carinena
3:1
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs CD Carinena
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almudevar Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliver Hernandez J. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

CD Carinena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almudevar 57 / 100
CD Carinena 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almudevar CD Carinena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almudevar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Almudevar scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

CD Carinena let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Almudevar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Almudevar VS CD Carinena
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almudevar

(Home)
26 Sept
Atletico Monzon
2 : 1
Almudevar
20 Sept
Almudevar
4 : 0
CD Belchite 97
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
Page 1 of 6

CD Carinena

(Away)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1
CD Carinena
26 Apr
CD Carinena
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1
CD Carinena
12 Apr
CD Carinena
2 : 2
CD Caspe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)