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Alondras vs Atletico Arteixo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
De Francisco G.
90' Event
Rocha Gandon J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Alondras and Atletico Arteixo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alondras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alondras
40%
Draws
29%
Atletico Arteixo
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Arteixo come out ahead of Alondras on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alondras Clean Sheet 12%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Atletico Arteixo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Atletico Arteixo
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Alondras
0:4
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Atletico Arteixo
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Alondras
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Atletico Arteixo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Top Goalscorer De Francisco G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha Gandon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 30 / 100
Atletico Arteixo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Atletico Arteixo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Arteixo conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alondras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Atletico Arteixo
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
12 Apr
Alondras
1 : 1
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Arteixo

(Away)
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
31 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1
Compostela
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Estradense
16 May
Estradense
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)