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Alondras vs Laracha

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between Alondras and Laracha finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alondras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alondras
15%
Draws
21%
Laracha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alondras come out ahead of Laracha on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alondras a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alondras here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alondras Clean Sheet 18%
Laracha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Laracha
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Laracha
2:0
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Alondras
0:1
Mar 3, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Alondras
0:2
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Laracha
1:0
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Laracha
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 76 / 100
Laracha 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Laracha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alondras scored in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: Laracha conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Alondras has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Laracha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
Page 1 of 8

Laracha

(Away)
19 May
Laracha
0 : 3
Porrino Industrial
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2
Laracha
05 May
Laracha
1 : 3
Racing Club Ferrol
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0
Laracha
28 Apr
Laracha
5 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 23 9 6 80:35 78
2 Bergantinos 38 22 8 8 58:42 74
3 Compostela 38 20 8 10 80:47 68
4 Alondras 38 19 8 11 47:36 65
5 Barco 38 19 7 12 58:43 64
6 Ourense CF 38 18 10 10 51:24 64
7 CD Choco 38 16 11 11 59:47 59
8 UD Ourense 38 16 11 11 45:39 59
9 Arosa SC 38 17 6 15 57:44 57
10 Lugo B 38 15 7 16 55:53 52
11 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 10 14 47:48 52
12 Silva SD 38 14 6 18 52:56 48
13 Arenteiro 38 12 11 15 41:53 47
14 Somozas 38 12 10 16 45:52 46
15 Paiosaco 38 12 9 17 46:59 45
16 Celtiga 38 12 5 21 36:66 41
17 Laracha 38 10 10 18 42:49 40
18 Ribadumia 38 9 11 18 41:65 38
19 CD Boiro 38 8 7 23 34:79 31
20 Porrino Industrial 38 7 6 25 37:74 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)