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Alondras vs Lugo B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Alcalde A.
41' Event
Doumbouya I.
47' Event
Alcalde A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Alondras and Lugo B finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alondras
20%
Draws
46%
Lugo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugo B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lugo B a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alondras Clean Sheet 16%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Lugo B
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.61 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Lugo B
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Alondras
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Alondras
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Lugo B
3:2
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Lugo B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alondras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcalde A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Doumbouya I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 10 / 100
Lugo B 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Lugo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Alondras scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Lugo B conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Alondras remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS Lugo B
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
Page 1 of 7

Lugo B

(Away)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)