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Alondras vs Paiosaco

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Alondras and Paiosaco finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alondras
15%
Draws
45%
Paiosaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Paiosaco haven't matched Alondras's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alondras a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Alondras Clean Sheet 68%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alondras Paiosaco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.37 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Paiosaco
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Alondras
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Paiosaco
0:1
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Alondras
2:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Alondras
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alondras 50 / 100
Paiosaco 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alondras Paiosaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Paiosaco conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alondras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alondras VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alondras

(Home)
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

Paiosaco

(Away)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)