Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2023/2024

Alqueidao

1 - 3

AD Marco 09

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Gregorio D. T.

45'

Mendonca B.

66'

Silva L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with AD Marco 09 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Alqueidao

25%

Draws

46%

AD Marco 09

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and AD Marco 09 come out ahead of Alqueidao on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
AD Marco 09 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor AD Marco 09, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Alqueidao Clean Sheet 20%

AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alqueidao	AD Marco 09
Matches Played	3	30
Wins	1	9
Draws	0	10
Losses	2	11
Goals Scored	1.67	0.93
Goals Conceded	2.33	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.54	1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Taça de Portugal

Alqueidao vs AD Marco 09

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alqueidao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregorio D. T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.18

Avg xA / game 0.77

AD Marco 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Mendonca B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alqueidao 32 / 100

AD Marco 09 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alqueidao AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alqueidao found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (3 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

AD Marco 09 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Alqueidao went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Marco 09

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alqueidao

(Home)

24 Sept

Alqueidao

1 : 3

AD Marco 09

10 Sept

Alqueidao

3 : 2

CD Torres Novas

27 Sept

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

2 : 1

Alqueidao

AD Marco 09

(Away)

01 Aug

Cinfaes

1 : 1

AD Marco 09

15 Jul

Leiria

2 : 0

AD Marco 09

03 May

Paredes

2 : 2

AD Marco 09

26 Apr

AD Marco 09

1 : 0

Braga B

18 Apr

AD Marco 09

1 : 0

AD Fafe

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Moncarapachense -

TBD -

CU Micaelense 1

GD Alcochetense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Ponte -

TBD -

Vilaverdense FC -

TBD -

SC Farense -

Valadares Gaia FC 4

Torre De Moncorvo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

SC Salgueiros 2

FC Foz 0

TBD -

Santa Maria FC -

Sao Joao de Ver -

TBD -

Leixoes -

Anadia 2

Sanjoanense 3

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Tomar -

TBD -

Pero Pinheiro 2

Caldas SC 1

Padernense 1

Serpa 2

TBD -

CD Gouveia -

Atletico SC 0

CDR Quarteirense 2

TBD -

CF Os Belenenses -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Uniao Lamas 2

Paredes 3

Florgrade 3

Beira Mar 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense -

TBD -

Amarante FC -

Academica 3

Uniao de Coimbra 0

Fornos de Algodres 0

Oliveira Hospital 5

O Elvas CAD -

TBD -

Lanheses -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Tirsense -

SC Vila Real 0

Ribeirao 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

Aliados Lordelo 1

SC Vianense 3

CD Portosantense 1

Gondomar 0

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Barreirense -

TBD -

SC Mirandela -

CD Rabo Peixe -

TBD -

Oliveira do Douro -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Juv. Evora 3

Portel 0

Sintrense 2

Operario 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Gafetense -

TBD -

Mafra -

Brito -

TBD -

Feirense -

Vilar de Perdizes -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -

TBD -

FC Porto -

GD Peniche 2

Marinhense 1

Mondinense 0

CDC Montalegre 2

Trofense -

TBD -

Pevidem -

Canelas 2010 -

TBD -

FC Flamengos 0

GD Fontinhas 2

TBD -

Chaves -

Guadalupe 0

Fabril do Barreiro 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

Mortagua FC -

TBD -

Amora 8

Vitoria FC Pico 0

Lusitania FC 10

Regua 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Pedrogao Sao Pedro -

TBD -

Leiria -

Atletico Arcos -

TBD -

Malveira -

Alqueidao 3

CD Torres Novas 2

TBD -

AD Marco 09 -

Rebordelo 1

Os Sandinenses 3

Real SC 1

Olivais e Moscavide 2

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Dumiense -

TBD -

Santarem 6

Proenca-A-Nova 0

Louletano 1

Imortal 0

TBD -

AFS -

Oriental -

TBD -

Torreense -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

SC Vilanovense 0

SC Pombal 2

TBD -

Tondela -

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Alverca 13

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Vizela -

Castrense 1

Penedo Gordo 0

TBD -

Vila Mea -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

AD Fafe 1

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Limianos 3

Varzim 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Amiense 0

SB Castelo Branco 7

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Boavista -

SC Lusitania -

TBD -

Os Marialvas -

TBD -

Benfica -

Luzense -

TBD -

Camacha -

TBD -

Famalicao -

Lusitano GC 2

Industria 0

TBD -

Covilha -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Lusitano FCV 0

Tocha 2

Rebordosa 2

Lobao 1

TBD -

Braga -

1/64-finals

Moncarapachense 6

CU Micaelense 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Ponte 0

Vilaverdense FC 5

TBD -

SC Farense -

Valadares Gaia FC 1

Penafiel 2

SC Salgueiros 0

Santa Maria FC 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Leixoes 1

Sanjoanense 0

Vitoria Setubal 1

Tomar 1

Pero Pinheiro 2

Serpa 2

CD Gouveia 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

CF Os Belenenses 1

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Paredes 5

Florgrade 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense 0

Amarante FC 2

Academica 3

Oliveira Hospital 2

O Elvas CAD 1

Lanheses 0

ACDR Lamelas 1

Tirsense 3

Ribeirao 0

Santa Clara 3

Vitoria Sernache 0

SC Vianense 3

CD Portosantense 2

Nacional 4

FC Barreirense 0

SC Mirandela 3

CD Rabo Peixe 3

Oliveira do Douro 2

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Juv. Evora 1

Sintrense 2

TBD -

Estoril -

Gafetense 0

Mafra 5

Brito 0

Feirense 2

Vilar de Perdizes 5

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

GD Peniche 2

CDC Montalegre 3

Trofense 0

Pevidem 1

Canelas 2010 5

GD Fontinhas 0

TBD -

Chaves -

Fabril do Barreiro 1

Maritimo 3

Mortagua FC 2

Amora 1

Lusitania FC 1

Academico Viseu 2

Pedrogao Sao Pedro 0

Leiria 12

Atletico Arcos 2

Malveira 3

Alqueidao 1

AD Marco 09 3

Os Sandinenses 1

Olivais e Moscavide 3

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Dumiense 4

Santarem 3

Louletano 0

AFS 1

Oriental 0

Torreense 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

SC Pombal 0

Tondela 5

1º Dezembro 1

Pacos Ferreira 0

Atletico CP 1

Alverca 0

TBD -

Vizela -

Castrense 0

Vila Mea 3

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

FC Felgueiras 4

AD Limianos 0

TBD -

Arouca -

SB Castelo Branco 1

Oliveirense 2

TBD -

Boavista -

SC Lusitania 1

Os Marialvas 0

TBD -

Benfica -

Luzense 0

Camacha 3

TBD -

Famalicao -

Lusitano GC 0

Covilha 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Tocha 2

Rebordosa 4

TBD -

Braga -

1/32-finals

Moncarapachense 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Vilaverdense FC 3

SC Farense 2

Penafiel 3

Santa Maria FC 0

Leixoes 1

Vitoria Setubal 2

Pero Pinheiro 0

Serpa 1

CF Os Belenenses 1

Gil Vicente 2

Paredes 2

Moreirense 1

Amarante FC 1

Academica 0

O Elvas CAD 2

Tirsense 1

Santa Clara 2

SC Vianense 0

Nacional 6

SC Mirandela 1

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Casa Pia 2

Sintrense 0

Estoril 5

Mafra 3

Feirense 1

Vilar de Perdizes 0

FC Porto 2

CDC Montalegre 2

Pevidem 1

Canelas 2010 1

Chaves 0

Maritimo 4

Mortagua FC 1

Academico Viseu 1

Leiria 3

Malveira 2

AD Marco 09 1

Olivais e Moscavide 1

Sporting CP 3

Dumiense 1

AFS 0

Torreense 2

Rio Ave 1

Tondela 2

1º Dezembro 1

Atletico CP 0

Vizela 1

Vila Mea 0

Estrela da Amadora 1

FC Felgueiras 1

Arouca 3

Oliveirense 1

Boavista 3

SC Lusitania 1

Benfica 4

Camacha 0

Famalicao 5

Covilha 1

Portimonense 4

Rebordosa 0

Braga 2

1/16-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 4

Vilaverdense FC 1

Penafiel 3

Vitoria Setubal 2

Serpa 0

Gil Vicente 1

Paredes 0

Amarante FC 2

O Elvas CAD 1

Santa Clara 2

Nacional 1

Casa Pia 0

Estoril 2

Mafra 1

FC Porto 4

CDC Montalegre 0

Canelas 2010 1

Maritimo 3

Leiria 5

Malveira 0

Sporting CP 8

Dumiense 0

Torreense 1

Tondela 2

Vizela 2

Estrela da Amadora 1

Arouca 3

Boavista 2

Benfica 2

Famalicao 0

Portimonense 1

Braga 4

1/8-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Penafiel 0

Gil Vicente 3

Amarante FC 1

Santa Clara 2

Nacional 1

Estoril 0

FC Porto 4

Maritimo 0

Leiria 3

Sporting CP 4

Tondela 0

Vizela 1

Arouca 0

Benfica 3

Braga 2

Quarter-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Gil Vicente 1

Santa Clara 1

FC Porto 2

Leiria 0

Sporting CP 3

Vizela 1

Benfica 2

Semi-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

FC Porto 4

Sporting CP 4

Benfica 3

Final

FC Porto 2

Sporting CP 1

Alqueidao vs AD Marco 09

Portugal

Alqueidao

AD Marco 09

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Alqueidao Compare

AD Marco 09 Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Alqueidao

AD Marco 09

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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