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Alsager vs Crewe

World World

Club Friendly 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Dale O.
62' Event
Hales R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Alsager
35%
Draws
49%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crewe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than Alsager.
  • Model gives Crewe a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alsager Clean Sheet 23%
Crewe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsager Crewe
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 0 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Alsager vs Crewe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsager Compare

Top Goalscorer Hales R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Crewe Compare

Top Goalscorer Dale O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsager 10 / 100
Crewe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsager Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Alsager found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (10 games).

Alsager went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Crewe
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsager

(Home)
22 Jul
Alsager
0 : 0
Nantwich
13 Jul
Stockport Town
3 : 3
Alsager
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 4
Lower Breck
06 Jul
Alsager
0 : 3
FC Congleton Town
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 7
Leek Town
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Crewe

(Away)
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2
Walsall
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0
Crewe
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2
Crewe
22 Aug
Crewe
1 : 0
Northampton
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