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Alsager vs Nantwich

World World

Club Friendly 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jackson R.
6' Event
Cooke S.
18' Event
Lennon M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2016 game between Alsager and Nantwich finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nantwich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alsager
20%
Draws
60%
Nantwich
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nantwich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nantwich come out ahead of Alsager on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Nantwich taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alsager Clean Sheet 15%
Nantwich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsager Nantwich
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 0 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Alsager vs Nantwich
0:0
Jul 9, 2016 Club Friendly
Alsager vs Nantwich
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsager Compare

Top Goalscorer Lennon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nantwich Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooke S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsager 11 / 100
Nantwich 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsager Nantwich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nantwich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nantwich conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Nantwich registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alsager scored in 40% of their last 10 games.

Scoring Trends

Alsager VS Nantwich
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsager

(Home)
22 Jul
Alsager
0 : 0
Nantwich
13 Jul
Stockport Town
3 : 3
Alsager
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 4
Lower Breck
06 Jul
Alsager
0 : 3
FC Congleton Town
09 Jul
Alsager
0 : 7
Leek Town
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Nantwich

(Away)
29 Aug
Boston Town
1 : 2
Nantwich
28 Jul
Nantwich
0 : 3
Chester
27 Sept
Macclesfield
2 : 0
Nantwich
20 Sept
Silsden
3 : 0
Nantwich
13 Sept
Nantwich
3 : 1
Trafford
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