Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alsterbruder vs Dassendorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Moller S.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between Alsterbruder and Dassendorf finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dassendorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Alsterbruder
15%
Draws
68%
Dassendorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dassendorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dassendorf come out ahead of Alsterbruder on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dassendorf's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dassendorf here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 15%
Dassendorf Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsterbruder Dassendorf
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 18
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1.17 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Dassendorf
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Alsterbruder
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Alsterbruder
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Dassendorf
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsterbruder Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Dassendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsterbruder 11 / 100
Dassendorf 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsterbruder Dassendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dassendorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alsterbruder found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Dassendorf has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alsterbruder stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dassendorf
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsterbruder

(Home)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
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Dassendorf

(Away)
20 Sept
Niendorfer TSV
2 : 4
Dassendorf
12 Sept
Dassendorf
1 : 2
Paloma
06 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
0 : 1
Dassendorf
29 Aug
Dassendorf
3 : 1
Eintracht Norderstedt II
21 Aug
Harksheide
1 : 3
Dassendorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 99:30 82
2 Dassendorf 34 26 4 4 98:32 82
3 Eimsbutteler 34 22 4 8 96:48 70
4 Paloma 34 22 4 8 84:54 70
5 ETSV Hamburg 34 20 3 11 96:50 63
6 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 7 9 78:44 61
7 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 5 13 56:45 53
8 Vorwarts-Wacker 34 15 5 14 86:97 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 4 16 70:76 46
10 Suderelbe 34 13 5 16 70:83 44
11 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 12 5 17 69:73 41
12 Sasel 34 11 7 16 60:73 40
13 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 10 6 18 73:94 36
14 Harksheide 34 9 8 17 63:89 35
15 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 10 5 19 53:83 35
16 TSV Concordia 34 8 5 21 47:88 29
17 Alsterbruder 34 7 4 23 37:90 25
18 Hamburger III 34 3 2 29 45:131 11
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)