Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alsterbruder vs TSV Concordia

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Daams A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between Alsterbruder and TSV Concordia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Alsterbruder
20%
Draws
58%
TSV Concordia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSV Concordia come out ahead of Alsterbruder on wins alone.
  • Model gives TSV Concordia a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsterbruder TSV Concordia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.92 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Alsterbruder
2:5
Nov 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs TSV Concordia
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs TSV Concordia
1:2
Oct 28, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs Alsterbruder
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsterbruder Compare

Avg xG / game 2.25
Avg xA / game 1.46

TSV Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Daams A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsterbruder 22 / 100
TSV Concordia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsterbruder TSV Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Concordia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Concordia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Alsterbruder found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Alsterbruder went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alsterbruder VS TSV Concordia
2.2 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsterbruder

(Home)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 6

TSV Concordia

(Away)
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2
Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4
Altona
23 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
1 : 1
TSV Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 99:30 82
2 Dassendorf 34 26 4 4 98:32 82
3 Eimsbutteler 34 22 4 8 96:48 70
4 Paloma 34 22 4 8 84:54 70
5 ETSV Hamburg 34 20 3 11 96:50 63
6 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 7 9 78:44 61
7 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 5 13 56:45 53
8 Vorwarts-Wacker 34 15 5 14 86:97 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 4 16 70:76 46
10 Suderelbe 34 13 5 16 70:83 44
11 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 12 5 17 69:73 41
12 Sasel 34 11 7 16 60:73 40
13 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 10 6 18 73:94 36
14 Harksheide 34 9 8 17 63:89 35
15 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 10 5 19 53:83 35
16 TSV Concordia 34 8 5 21 47:88 29
17 Alsterbruder 34 7 4 23 37:90 25
18 Hamburger III 34 3 2 29 45:131 11
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)