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Alta vs Harstad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 Finnmarkshallen, Alta
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Jacobsen F.
73' Event
Andersen G.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Ellingsen E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Alta and Harstad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alta
33%
Draws
40%
Harstad
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Harstad haven't matched Alta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Harstad's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Alta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Alta Clean Sheet 10%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alta Harstad
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Alta vs Harstad
2:1
Oct 22, 2016 Division 2 - Group 1
Alta vs Harstad
3:1
Jul 2, 2016 Division 2 - Group 1
Harstad vs Alta
1:1
Sep 28, 2013 Division 2 - Group 2
Harstad vs Alta
1:3
Jun 16, 2013 Division 2 - Group 2
Alta vs Harstad
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alta Compare

Top Goalscorer Jacobsen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellingsen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Harstad Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alta 26 / 100
Harstad 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alta Harstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alta scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Harstad conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Alta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alta VS Harstad
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alta

(Home)
28 Jun
Alta
3 : 0
Finnsnes
20 Jun
Skjetten
1 : 1
Alta
12 Jun
Alta
3 : 3
Tromso 2
30 May
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Alta
23 May
Skedsmo
2 : 0
Alta
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Harstad

(Away)
27 Jun
Ulfstind
1 : 1
Harstad
21 Jun
Harstad
6 : 1
Kongsvinger 2
13 Jun
Stromsgodset 2
2 : 2
Harstad
30 May
Harstad
5 : 1
Bossekop
25 May
Skjetten
1 : 2
Harstad
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