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Alta vs Lillestrom 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 Finnmarkshallen, Alta
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Martynenko N.
7' Event
Norbye T.
11' Event
Jacobsen F.

AI Match Summary

Alta in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 8-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Alta
15%
Draws
32%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lillestrom 2 at 3.07 per game, Alta at 2.63.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Alta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Alta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Alta Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alta Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 0
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.63 3.07
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Alta vs Lillestrom 2
8:3
May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Alta
2:4
Aug 10, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Lillestrom 2 vs Alta
3:0
Apr 27, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Alta vs Lillestrom 2
7:1
Oct 14, 2006 Division 2 - Group 4
Alta vs Lillestrom 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alta Compare

Top Goalscorer Norbye T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Martynenko N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadil W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akanji S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alta 47 / 100
Lillestrom 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alta Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alta's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lillestrom 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

Alta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alta VS Lillestrom 2
2.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alta

(Home)
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
21 Sept
Alta
2 : 0
Stromsgodset 2
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Alta
0 : 0
Skedsmo
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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