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Altai vs Yelimay Semey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Vostok Stadium, Oskemen
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Altai host Yelimay Semey in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Altai at 1.24 goals for, 1.55 against; Yelimay Semey at 1.5 for, 1.46 against. Head-to-head, Altai have won 0 to Yelimay Semey's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.38, favoring Yelimay Semey. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Altai
15%
Draws
42%
Yelimay Semey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Yelimay Semey have won more games recently than Altai.
  • Altai are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Altai Clean Sheet 17%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altai Yelimay Semey
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Altai
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altai 66 / 100
Yelimay Semey 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altai Yelimay Semey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altai found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Yelimay Semey conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Yelimay Semey registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altai VS Yelimay Semey
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Altai

(Home)
11 Oct
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 1
Altai
18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Yelimay Semey

(Away)
10 Oct
Yelimay Semey
1 : 3
Aktobe
17 Sept
Tobol
0 : 2
Yelimay Semey
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
06 Sept
FC Astana
4 : 0
Yelimay Semey
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 27 20 4 3 55:19 64
2 Kairat Almaty 27 18 6 3 52:20 60
3 FC Astana 26 14 6 6 43:27 48
4 Aktobe 27 13 6 8 41:32 45
5 Okzhetpes 27 13 6 8 41:37 45
6 Yelimay Semey 26 10 8 8 36:36 38
7 Tobol 27 11 4 12 35:36 37
8 Ulytau 27 9 8 10 26:32 35
9 Zhenis 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 27 9 5 13 29:37 32
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Atyrau 26 5 11 10 20:29 26
13 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
14 Altai 27 6 7 14 27:38 25
15 Kaisar Kyzylorda 27 4 12 11 23:37 24
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27 5 7 15 26:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)