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Altai W vs Shakhter Karagandy W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Altai W play Shakhter Karagandy W in the League Women. Shakhter Karagandy W are favorites here. Recently, Altai W averaged 0.56 goals scored and 4.78 conceded. Shakhter Karagandy W averaged 0.56 goals scored and 5.78 conceded. In past meetings, Altai W won 0, Shakhter Karagandy W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.13 for Altai W and 2.56 for Shakhter Karagandy W. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Altai W
15%
Draws
64%
Shakhter Karagandy W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Altai W picked up more points recently compared to Shakhter Karagandy W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.13 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Altai W Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altai W Shakhter Karagandy W
Matches Played 9 9
Wins 0 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.56 0.56
Goals Conceded 4.78 5.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 5.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 League Women
Altai W vs Shakhter Karagandy W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altai W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Shakhter Karagandy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakypbek D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altai W 21 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy W 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altai W Shakhter Karagandy W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shakhter Karagandy W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Altai W attacking → ← attacking Shakhter Karagandy W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altai W scored in 33% of their last 9 games.

Shakhter Karagandy W let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Altai W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shakhter Karagandy W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 7
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BIIK Shymkent W880076:024
2Tomiris-Turan W870122:221
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W851211:1316
4Kairat W841320:1013
5Atyrau W83238:1911
6Ordabasy W831410:2210
7Zhetysu W921611:247
8Ulytau W80171:331
9Kaspij Aktau W70160:361
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aktobe W101000104:130
2Zhenis Astana W971140:1822
3Kyzylzhar W952229:1017
4Yelimay Semey W1051426:2016
5FC Astana W950417:2215
6Tobol W940511:2712
7Ertis Pavlodar W932412:1311
8Shakhter Karagandy W92165:527
9Okzhetpes W91088:513
10Altai W90185:431