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Stadium Background

Altamura vs Bari

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Dipinto N.
14' Event
Maggiore G.
Assist: Mantovani V.
16' Event
Darboe E.
Assist: Mantovani V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Altamura and Bari finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Altamura
15%
Draws
54%
Bari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Bari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bari's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Altamura Clean Sheet 20%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Bari
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Bari
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bari Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggiore G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Darboe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 24 / 100
Bari 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Bari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bari has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Altamura went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Bari
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2
Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Inter U23
1 : 1
Altamura
24 Aug
Altamura
1 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

Bari

(Away)
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1
Picerno
28 Aug
Barletta
3 : 0
Bari
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
2 Bari 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Casertana 6 3 3 0 11:8 12
4 Audace Cerignola 6 3 1 2 10:5 10
5 Potenza 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
6 Casarano 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
7 Picerno 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
8 Salernitana 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
9 Catania 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
10 Barletta 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
11 Monopoli 5 2 1 2 3:2 7
12 Scafatese 6 1 4 1 8:9 7
13 Inter U23 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
14 Altamura 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
15 A.C. Savoia 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
16 Cavese 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
17 Foggia 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 6 0 2 4 5:15 2
20 Crotone 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)