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Stadium Background

Altamura vs Monopoli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rosafio M.
12'
Sub
Rosafio M. In: Millico V.
Out: Rosafio M.
28' Event
Curcio A.

AI Match Summary

Altamura in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altamura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Altamura
30%
Draws
31%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altamura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Monopoli at 0.87 per game, Altamura at 0.86.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Altamura Clean Sheet 18%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Monopoli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.86 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Monopoli
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Altamura
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Altamura
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Monopoli
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosafio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Curcio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Monopoli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 36 / 100
Monopoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monopoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Monopoli has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Solid form: Altamura remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Monopoli
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
26 Apr
Altamura
0 : 4
Casarano
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Altamura
12 Apr
Altamura
1 : 1
Giugliano
06 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 0
Altamura
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Monopoli

(Away)
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2
Monopoli
09 Aug
Lecce
1 : 0
Monopoli
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2
Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)