Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altamura vs Picerno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Tonino D'Angelo, Altamura
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Gemignani A.
52' Event
Pugliese S.
57'
Sub
Falasca M. In: Simone G.
Out: Falasca M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Altamura and Picerno finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altamura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Altamura
15%
Draws
28%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altamura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Altamura come out ahead of Picerno on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Altamura Clean Sheet 13%
Picerno Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altamura Picerno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Picerno
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Altamura
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Picerno
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Altamura vs Picerno
1:2
Nov 22, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Altamura
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altamura Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosafio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malcore G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugliese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altamura 31 / 100
Picerno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altamura Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altamura found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Picerno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Picerno has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Altamura VS Picerno
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Altamura

(Home)
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2
Sambenedettese
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Picerno

(Away)
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1
Inter U23
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1
Picerno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
2 Potenza 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Bari 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Casertana 6 3 3 0 11:8 12
5 Audace Cerignola 6 3 1 2 10:5 10
6 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
7 Casarano 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
8 Picerno 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
9 Salernitana 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
10 Monopoli 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
11 Catania 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
12 Barletta 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
13 Scafatese 6 1 4 1 8:9 7
14 Altamura 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
15 A.C. Savoia 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
16 Foggia 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Cavese 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 6 0 2 4 5:15 2
20 Crotone 6 0 3 3 5:9 -3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)