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Altavilla vs Adriese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Boni N.
54' Event
Righetti N.
70' Event
Marchesini M.

AI Match Summary

Altavilla in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Altavilla
15%
Draws
0%
Adriese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Altavilla have won more games recently than Adriese.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Altavilla taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Adriese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altavilla Adriese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 14 4
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 0.77 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs Adriese
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Altavilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Boni N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Righetti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Adriese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altavilla 95 / 100
Adriese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altavilla Adriese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adriese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Adriese registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Altavilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altavilla VS Adriese
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Altavilla

(Home)
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0
Altavilla
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
02 Apr
Altavilla
0 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

Adriese

(Away)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)