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Stadium Background

Altay vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium, Izmir
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Gurcan E.

AI Match Summary

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Usak Belediyespor Kulubu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Altay
33%
Draws
27%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Altay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Usak Belediyespor Kulubu lately — more wins on the board than Altay.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Altay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Altay Clean Sheet 68%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altay Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Altay vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Altay
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurcan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altay 50 / 100
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altay Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altay scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Altay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Altay VS Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altay

(Home)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Altay
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
29 Mar
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Altay
25 Mar
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Away)
18 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 1
Eskisehir Anadolu
29 Mar
Alanya 1221
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
25 Mar
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
0 : 2
Balikesirspor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)